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Armadale vs Perth RedStar

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Alfred Skeet Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Evans J.
41' Event
Smith G.
53'
Dao Y.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Armadale and Perth RedStar finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perth RedStar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Armadale
30%
Draws
23%
Perth RedStar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Armadale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perth RedStar come out ahead of Armadale on wins alone.
  • Model gives Armadale a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Perth RedStar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Armadale Clean Sheet 12%
Perth RedStar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armadale Perth RedStar
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Perth RedStar
0:4
May 16, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Armadale
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Armadale vs Perth RedStar
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Perth RedStar
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Armadale
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armadale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Perth RedStar Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armadale 56 / 100
Perth RedStar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armadale Perth RedStar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armadale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armadale scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Perth RedStar has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Armadale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Armadale VS Perth RedStar
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Armadale

(Home)
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Armadale
3 : 1
Dianella White Eagle
01 Aug
Balcatta
3 : 3
Armadale
Page 1 of 6

Perth RedStar

(Away)
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)