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Armadale vs Sorrento Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Alfred Skeet Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Griffiths L.
56' Event
Kim K.
77'
Christie L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Armadale
20%
Draws
23%
Sorrento
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Armadale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Armadale haven't matched Sorrento's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Armadale's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Armadale here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Armadale Clean Sheet 13%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armadale Sorrento
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.84 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Armadale
0:3
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Sorrento
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Sorrento
4:2
Jun 7, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Armadale
1:5
Aug 26, 2023 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Armadale
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armadale Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armadale 84 / 100
Sorrento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armadale Sorrento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armadale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armadale's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Sorrento has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Armadale has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Armadale VS Sorrento
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Armadale

(Home)
19 Sept
Armadale
3 : 0
UWA Nedlands
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Armadale
3 : 1
Dianella White Eagle
Page 1 of 7

Sorrento

(Away)
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
1 : 1
Sorrento
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
11 Jul
Sorrento
0 : 2
Fremantle City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)