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Armadale vs UWA Nedlands

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Alfred Skeet Reserve, Perth
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Match Events

8' Event
Griffiths L.
76' Event
Bah C.
90' Event
Murray K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Armadale
20%
Draws
33%
UWA Nedlands
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Armadale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • UWA Nedlands have won more games recently than Armadale.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Armadale taking it.
  • UWA Nedlands arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Armadale, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Armadale Clean Sheet 10%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armadale UWA Nedlands
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.77 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs UWA Nedlands
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armadale Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bah C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UWA Nedlands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armadale 38 / 100
UWA Nedlands 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armadale UWA Nedlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armadale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armadale scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

UWA Nedlands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Armadale has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Armadale VS UWA Nedlands
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Armadale

(Home)
19 Sept
Armadale
3 : 0
UWA Nedlands
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Armadale
3 : 1
Dianella White Eagle
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UWA Nedlands

(Away)
19 Sept
Armadale
3 : 0
UWA Nedlands
12 Sept
UWA Nedlands
0 : 0
Mandurah City
05 Sept
Mandurah City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
22 Aug
Joondalup City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Armadale 3
Joondalup City 2
UWA Nedlands 1
Mandurah City 0
Final
Armadale 3
UWA Nedlands 0