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Armagh vs Ballinamallard Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2025/2026 game between Armagh and Ballinamallard finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Armagh
35%
Draws
47%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ballinamallard come out ahead of Armagh on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ballinamallard taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ballinamallard have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armagh Ballinamallard
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 0 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Armagh
6:0
Mar 7, 2026 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballinamallard
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballinamallard
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Armagh
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballinamallard
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armagh 18 / 100
Ballinamallard 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armagh Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ballinamallard conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Armagh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Armagh scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Armagh VS Ballinamallard
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Armagh

(Home)
02 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 0
Armagh
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

Ballinamallard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Limavady 33 21 8 4 61:32 71
2 Annagh 33 22 5 6 54:27 71
3 Harland & Wolff 33 17 8 8 77:41 59
4 Newington FC 33 15 6 12 69:52 51
5 Loughgall 33 13 12 8 46:34 51
6 Queens University 33 12 11 10 43:42 47
7 Institute 33 13 7 13 47:43 46
8 Ards 33 12 7 14 50:46 43
9 Warrenpoint 33 10 6 17 44:50 36
10 Ballinamallard 33 8 10 15 36:52 34
11 Dundela 33 3 11 19 37:73 20
12 Armagh 33 4 5 24 28:100 17
Promotion - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)