Sport Picks
Armagh vs Carrick Rangers
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
11'
11'
Heatley P.
16'
16'
Rutkowski I.
26'
26'
McCann S.
AI Match Summary
Armagh in this Irish League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carrick Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Carrick Rangers have won more games recently than Armagh.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Carrick Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Carrick Rangers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Carrick Rangers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Armagh | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 1 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 2.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.21 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2025 Irish League Cup
Armagh vs Carrick Rangers
3:2
Oct 12, 2016 Irish League Cup
Armagh vs Carrick Rangers
0:2
Apr 14, 2015 NIFL Championship
Carrick Rangers vs Armagh
3:1
Mar 24, 2015 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Carrick Rangers
0:2
Mar 6, 2010 NIFL Championship
Carrick Rangers vs Armagh
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Armagh Compare
Top Goalscorer Rutkowski I.
1 Goals Assists Leader McCann S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Carrick Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Heatley P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maciulaitis N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Armagh 34 / 100
Carrick Rangers 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Armagh Carrick Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carrick Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Carrick Rangers lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Armagh found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Armagh VS Carrick Rangers
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Armagh
(Home) 12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5 Institute
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0 Armagh
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2 Glenavon
15 Aug
Harland & Wolff
1 : 0 Armagh
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5 Institute
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2 Glenavon
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1 Queens University
10 Jul
Armagh
0 : 1 Cliftonville
25 Apr
Armagh
1 : 4 Institute
Page 1 of 3
Carrick Rangers
(Away) 12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3 Cliftonville
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0 Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4 Carrick Rangers
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2 Coleraine
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0 Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4 Carrick Rangers
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2 Carrick Rangers
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8 Carrick Rangers
21 Jul
Queens University
3 : 5 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
