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Armagh vs Dergview

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Jordan E.
Own Goal
69' Event
McConnell M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Armagh
30%
Draws
23%
Dergview
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Armagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dergview come out ahead of Armagh on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Armagh taking it.
  • Dergview arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dergview, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Armagh Clean Sheet 15%
Dergview Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armagh Dergview
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 0.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.94 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2024 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Armagh
1:2
Apr 30, 2024 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Dergview
1:1
Jan 21, 2017 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Armagh
4:0
Sep 10, 2016 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Dergview
1:3
Aug 30, 2016 Irish League Cup
Armagh vs Dergview
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armagh Compare

Top Goalscorer McConnell M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Dergview Compare

Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armagh 66 / 100
Dergview 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armagh Dergview

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armagh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dergview let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: Dergview has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Armagh's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Armagh VS Dergview
0.5 Goals Scored 0.33
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Armagh

(Home)
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
15 Aug
Harland & Wolff
1 : 0
Armagh
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1
Queens University
10 Jul
Armagh
0 : 1
Cliftonville
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Dergview

(Away)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dergview 2
Armagh 3