Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Armagh vs Dunloy

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020
Sat, Sep 28, 2019
2 - 1
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Armagh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Armagh
20%
Draws
65%
Dunloy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunloy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Dunloy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dunloy are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Dunloy arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Armagh, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%
Dunloy Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armagh Dunloy
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 2 7
Draws 6 0
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 0.55 1.92
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2019 Irish Cup
Armagh vs Dunloy
2:1
Sep 29, 2018 Irish Cup
Dunloy vs Armagh
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armagh 18 / 100
Dunloy 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armagh Dunloy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunloy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunloy has conceded goals in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Armagh found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Armagh stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Armagh VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Armagh

(Home)
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
15 Aug
Harland & Wolff
1 : 0
Armagh
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1
Queens University
Page 1 of 7

Dunloy

(Away)
28 Sept
Armagh
2 : 1
Dunloy
17 Aug
Tullyvallen Rangers
2 : 3
Dunloy
01 Dec
Dunloy
0 : 2
Larne Technical Old Boys
03 Nov
Lurgan Town Boys
1 : 2
Dunloy
29 Sept
Dunloy
2 : 0
Armagh
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dollingstown -
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Lower Maze -
Lisburn Distillery -
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Ballynahinch United -
Strabane Athletic -
Maiden City 3
Bourneview Mill 2
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Tullycarnet -
Armagh 7
Bangor Old Boys 0
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Dunloy 3
Warrenpoint -
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Tandragee -
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18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Comber Rec 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Dromara 3
Coagh Utd 6
Crumlin Star 8
Kilmore Rec 0
Desertmartin 1
Trojans 3
Greenisland -
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Bloomfield 1
Foundry 3
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart -
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Dromore Amateurs 1
Belfast Celtic 9
Woodvale 5
Windmill 1
Derriaghy 1
Annagh 4
Tobermore -
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Barn 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Suffolk 3
St Luke's 0
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 4
Grove 2
Dungiven 1
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 3
Rosemount Rec 2
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 4
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Iveagh Utd 1
Abbey Villa 1
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 3
St Oliver Plunkett 2
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Dunmurry Y.M. -
Ballymoney -
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St. Marys 1
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC -
Drumaness -
Newington FC 5
Cookstown Youth 0
Ardstraw 3
Fivemiletown 2
Ards Rangers 1
Wakehurst 3
Islandmagee -
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Shorts -
Institute -
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Dungannon -
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Limavady 3
Ballynure Old Boys 0
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Immaculata -
Aquinas -
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Seapatrick 0
Craigavon City 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Saintfield 0
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 2
Malachians 1
Markethill 1
Mossley FC 4
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 3
Cookstown RBL 2
Laurelvale 1
Chimney 5
Richhill -
Ballywalter Recreation -
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Valley Rangers -
Hanover -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Rosario Youth 0
Rectory Rangers 0
Downshire Y.M. 2
Loughgall -
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Brantwood -
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Colin Valley 0
Moyola 11
Crewe -
Donegal -
Bryansburn 1
Crumlin United 3
Shankill -
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Lisburn Rangers -
Rathfriland Rangers -
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Sirocco 2
Seagoe 3
Queens University -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
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Dundela -
1/128-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown 5
Lower Maze 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Strabane Athletic 2
Maiden City 1
Tullycarnet 3
Armagh 2
Dunloy 1
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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Tandragee 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 7
Comber Rec 2
Coagh Utd 4
Crumlin Star -
Trojans -
Greenisland 2
Foundry 0
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Woodvale 1
Annagh 7
Tobermore 7
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Suffolk 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 4
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 0
Banbridge 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Newbuildings 2
Lurgan Town Boys 0
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 2
Dunmurry Y.M. 1
Ballymoney 2
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC 0
Newington FC 2
Ardstraw 4
Wakehurst 1
Islandmagee 5
Shorts 2
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 2
Immaculata 0
Aquinas 2
Craigavon City 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 9
Mossley FC 0
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 1
Chimney 2
Richhill 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover -
Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 4
Moyola 3
Crewe 3
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 1
Lisburn Rangers 4
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Seagoe 2
Queens University -
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Linfield -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/64-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tullycarnet 4
Armagh 3
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Coagh Utd 3
Crumlin Star 1
Greenisland 0
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Belfast Celtic 3
Annagh 1
Tobermore 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymacash 4
East Belfast 3
Newington FC 0
Ardstraw 1
Islandmagee 2
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 3
Aquinas 0
Bangor FC 5
Moneyslane FC 1
Cliftonville -
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Chimney 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 1
Crumlin United 0
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/32-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Dollingstown 6
Tullycarnet 0
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 0
Crumlin Star 1
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
Belfast Celtic 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Banbridge 3
Ballymacash 2
East Belfast 7
Islandmagee 1
Institute -
TBD -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 1
Bangor FC 3
Cliftonville -
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Valley Rangers 1
Hanover 5
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 3
Dergview 2
Ballinamallard 1
Dollingstown 0
Warrenpoint 3
PSNI 1
Ballymena 2
Crumlin Star 0
Ballyclare 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 8
Belfast Celtic 0
Glenavon 0
Coleraine 2
Banbridge 3
East Belfast 2
Institute 2
Dungannon 3
Newry City 3
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 6
Hanover 0
Loughgall 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Queens University 2
Linfield 1
Glentoran 3
Portadown 2
Ards 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Crusaders 3
Dundela 0
1/8-finals
Knockbreda 2
Ballinamallard 5
Warrenpoint 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Larne 1
Coleraine 3
Banbridge 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Cliftonville 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Queens University 2
Glentoran 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Crusaders 5
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 0
Ballymena 2
Larne 2
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 2
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Semi-finals
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 1
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 2
Final
Ballymena 1
Glentoran 2