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Armee vs Kedia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
07:50 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Armee host Kedia in the Ligue 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Armee have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Kedia's 0.79 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Kedia slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 29, 2021, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.06, favoring Kedia. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Armee
30%
Draws
23%
Kedia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Armee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Armee lately — more wins on the board than Kedia.
  • Model gives Armee a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kedia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Armee Clean Sheet 20%
Kedia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armee Kedia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.55 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2021 Ligue 1
Armee vs Kedia
0:4
Nov 21, 2020 Ligue 1
Kedia vs Armee
1:1
Mar 2, 2019 Ligue 1
Kedia vs Armee
1:0
Nov 2, 2018 Ligue 1
Armee vs Kedia
0:2
Feb 5, 2017 Ligue 1
Armee vs Kedia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armee 42 / 100
Kedia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armee Kedia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Armee scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Kedia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kedia conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Armee VS Kedia
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Armee

(Home)
10 Oct
Kaedi
0 : 0
Armee
30 Jun
Garde Nationale
1 : 2
Armee
25 Jun
Armee
0 : 3
Madine Trarza
19 Jun
Douane
2 : 1
Armee
11 Jun
Armee
3 : 5
Tevragh-Zeina
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Kedia

(Away)
10 Oct
Kedia
0 : 3
Pompiers
19 Jun
Garde Nationale
0 : 0
Kedia
12 Jun
Madine Trarza
1 : 0
Kedia
06 Jun
Kedia
3 : 4
JAHE
29 May
Kedia
0 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pompiers 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Gendrim 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 SNIM 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Nouakchott King's 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Tevragh-Zeina 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Nouadhibou 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Armee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Police 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Kaedi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Chemal 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Nzeidane 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Nouakchott Academy 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Douane 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Kedia 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)