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Armenia vs Cyprus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Armenia host Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Cyprus have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Armenia have conceded 2.1 and scored 0.97. Head-to-head, Armenia have won 1 to Cyprus's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Cyprus. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Armenia
30%
Draws
47%
Cyprus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cyprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cyprus lately — more wins on the board than Armenia.
  • Cyprus are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Armenia Clean Sheet 16%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armenia Cyprus
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Armenia
2:0
Mar 28, 2023 Friendly International
Armenia vs Cyprus
2:2
Nov 13, 2017 Friendly International
Armenia vs Cyprus
3:2
Sep 8, 2007 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Armenia
3:1
Mar 1, 2006 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Armenia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armenia 28 / 100
Cyprus 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armenia Cyprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cyprus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Cyprus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Armenia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Armenia found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Armenia VS Cyprus
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Armenia

(Home)
05 Oct
Montenegro
0 : 0
Armenia
02 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 0
Armenia
28 Sept
Armenia
2 : 3
Montenegro
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
Page 1 of 6

Cyprus

(Away)
05 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 1
Latvia
02 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 0
Armenia
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
25 Sept
Montenegro
2 : 1
Cyprus
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)