Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Armenia vs Ireland

World World

World Championship 2026 Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Spertsyan E.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Ogbene C. In: McAteer K.
Out: Ogbene C.
46'
Sub
Taylor J. In: Idah A.
Out: Taylor J.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Armenia and Ireland finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Armenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Armenia
30%
Draws
47%
Ireland
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ireland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ireland come out ahead of Armenia on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Armenia taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Armenia Clean Sheet 13%
Ireland Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armenia Ireland
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship
Ireland vs Armenia
1:0
Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
Armenia vs Ireland
2:1
Sep 27, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Ireland vs Armenia
3:2
Jun 4, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Armenia vs Ireland
1:0
Oct 11, 2011 Euro
Ireland vs Armenia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ranos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferguson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armenia 35 / 100
Ireland 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armenia Ireland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Armenia scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Ireland let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Armenia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Armenia VS Ireland
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Armenia

(Home)
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
06 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
29 Mar
Armenia
1 : 2
Belarus
16 Nov
Portugal
9 : 1
Armenia
Page 1 of 6

Ireland

(Away)
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3
Ireland
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
05 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Ireland
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0
Qatar
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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