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Stadium Background

Arminia Bielefeld II vs Ahlen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 game between Arminia Bielefeld II and Ahlen finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arminia Bielefeld II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Arminia Bielefeld II
15%
Draws
39%
Ahlen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arminia Bielefeld II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arminia Bielefeld II come out ahead of Ahlen on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Arminia Bielefeld II taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Arminia Bielefeld II Clean Sheet 18%
Ahlen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arminia Bielefeld II Ahlen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Arminia Bielefeld II vs Ahlen
2:0
Mar 18, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Arminia Bielefeld II
2:0
Apr 29, 2018 Oberliga Westfalen
Arminia Bielefeld II vs Ahlen
1:2
Sep 17, 2017 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Arminia Bielefeld II
1:0
May 6, 2015 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Arminia Bielefeld II
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arminia Bielefeld II 41 / 100
Ahlen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arminia Bielefeld II Ahlen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Arminia Bielefeld II scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Arminia Bielefeld II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arminia Bielefeld II VS Ahlen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.8
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Arminia Bielefeld II

(Home)
27 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 1
Erkenschwick
19 Sept
Gievenbeck
2 : 0
Arminia Bielefeld II
13 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
1 : 1
TUS Ennepetal
06 Sept
TuS Hordel
1 : 3
Arminia Bielefeld II
30 Aug
Arminia Bielefeld II
0 : 1
Lippstadt
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Ahlen

(Away)
31 May
Ahlen
3 : 4
Eintracht Rheine
25 May
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 0
Ahlen
17 May
Verl II
1 : 4
Ahlen
10 May
Hiltrup
1 : 0
Ahlen
06 May
Westfalia Rhynern
1 : 2
Ahlen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westfalia Rhynern 36 25 7 4 96:38 82
2 SG Wattenscheid 36 23 11 2 78:28 80
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 36 22 9 5 81:41 75
4 Lippstadt 36 20 10 6 63:29 70
5 Preussen Munster 2 36 21 5 10 80:49 68
6 Gievenbeck 36 14 8 14 61:56 50
7 Arminia Bielefeld II 36 13 10 13 57:57 49
8 Clarholz 36 12 10 14 54:63 46
9 Eintracht Rheine 36 11 11 14 53:63 44
10 Verl II 36 11 9 16 51:64 42
11 Schermbeck 2020 36 10 10 16 53:60 40
12 Sprockhovel 36 11 7 18 59:69 40
13 Erkenschwick 36 10 10 16 48:67 40
14 Vreden 36 11 6 19 52:68 39
15 TUS Ennepetal 36 11 5 20 44:75 38
16 Hiltrup 36 9 10 17 42:57 37
17 Ahlen 36 9 7 20 42:77 34
18 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 36 8 9 19 51:87 33
19 Turkspor Dortmund 36 12 4 20 60:77 31
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)