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Arminia Bielefeld II vs Vreden Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 game between Arminia Bielefeld II and Vreden finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arminia Bielefeld II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Arminia Bielefeld II
20%
Draws
47%
Vreden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vreden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Vreden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Arminia Bielefeld II are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arminia Bielefeld II Clean Sheet 10%
Vreden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arminia Bielefeld II Vreden
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Arminia Bielefeld II vs Vreden
5:1
Nov 9, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Arminia Bielefeld II
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arminia Bielefeld II 38 / 100
Vreden 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arminia Bielefeld II Vreden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arminia Bielefeld II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Arminia Bielefeld II scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Vreden has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Arminia Bielefeld II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arminia Bielefeld II VS Vreden
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arminia Bielefeld II

(Home)
27 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 1
Erkenschwick
19 Sept
Gievenbeck
2 : 0
Arminia Bielefeld II
13 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
1 : 1
TUS Ennepetal
06 Sept
TuS Hordel
1 : 3
Arminia Bielefeld II
30 Aug
Arminia Bielefeld II
0 : 1
Lippstadt
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Vreden

(Away)
27 Sept
Vreden
2 : 0
Lippstadt
20 Sept
Schermbeck 2020
1 : 3
Vreden
13 Sept
Vreden
1 : 6
Eintracht Rheine
04 Sept
Sprockhovel
4 : 4
Vreden
30 Aug
Vreden
2 : 0
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westfalia Rhynern 36 25 7 4 96:38 82
2 SG Wattenscheid 36 23 11 2 78:28 80
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 36 22 9 5 81:41 75
4 Lippstadt 36 20 10 6 63:29 70
5 Preussen Munster 2 36 21 5 10 80:49 68
6 Gievenbeck 36 14 8 14 61:56 50
7 Arminia Bielefeld II 36 13 10 13 57:57 49
8 Clarholz 36 12 10 14 54:63 46
9 Eintracht Rheine 36 11 11 14 53:63 44
10 Verl II 36 11 9 16 51:64 42
11 Schermbeck 2020 36 10 10 16 53:60 40
12 Sprockhovel 36 11 7 18 59:69 40
13 Erkenschwick 36 10 10 16 48:67 40
14 Vreden 36 11 6 19 52:68 39
15 TUS Ennepetal 36 11 5 20 44:75 38
16 Hiltrup 36 9 10 17 42:57 37
17 Ahlen 36 9 7 20 42:77 34
18 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 36 8 9 19 51:87 33
19 Turkspor Dortmund 36 12 4 20 60:77 31
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)