Sport Picks
Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn
Germany
2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Schüco Arena, Bielefeld 
Match Events
5'
5'
Brackelmann C.
9'
9'
Mehlem M.
10'
10'
Bilbija F.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Arminia Bielefeld and Paderborn finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arminia Bielefeld
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Paderborn carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Arminia Bielefeld a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 16%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arminia Bielefeld | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 3.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Arminia Bielefeld
4:3
May 20, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn
2:2
Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn
1:1
Nov 8, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Arminia Bielefeld
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arminia Bielefeld Compare
Top Goalscorer Grodowski J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94
Paderborn Compare
Top Goalscorer Marino S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arminia Bielefeld 84 / 100
Paderborn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arminia Bielefeld Paderborn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Solid form: Arminia Bielefeld remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Arminia Bielefeld's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Paderborn conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Arminia Bielefeld VS Paderborn
3.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Arminia Bielefeld
(Home) 25 Jul
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 1 Duisburg
18 Jul
Bologna
0 : 4 Arminia Bielefeld
14 Jul
SC Imst
0 : 10 Arminia Bielefeld
08 Jul
Gutersloh
0 : 3 Arminia Bielefeld
02 Jul
Peckeloh
3 : 7 Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 1 Duisburg
17 May
Arminia Bielefeld
6 : 1 Hertha Berlin
02 May
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 1 Bochum
18 Apr
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 1 Nurnberg
04 Apr
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 1 Darmstadt
Page 1 of 3
Paderborn
(Away) 17 Jul
Paderborn
3 : 1 Okayama
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1 Wolfsburg
21 May
Wolfsburg
0 : 0 Paderborn
17 May
Darmstadt
0 : 2 Paderborn
08 May
Paderborn
2 : 2 Karlsruher
Page 1 of 6
21 May
Wolfsburg
0 : 0 Paderborn
17 May
Darmstadt
0 : 2 Paderborn
03 May
Elversberg
5 : 1 Paderborn
18 Apr
Hannover
1 : 1 Paderborn
05 Apr
Greuther Furth
0 : 2 Paderborn
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 52 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 46 |
| 9 | Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | 39 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | 37 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | 30 |
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
