Sport Picks
Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
2. Bundesliga Schüco Arena, Bielefeld 
Match Events
13'
13'
Rochelt J.
Assist: Kersken J.
20'
20'
Hara T.
Assist: Nemeth D.
35'
35'
Mehlem M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
35%
43%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Pauli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arminia Bielefeld lately — more wins on the board than St. Pauli.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 14%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arminia Bielefeld | St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli
2:2
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli
0:2
Apr 29, 2023 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld
2:1
Oct 22, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli
2:0
Jan 18, 2020 Club Friendly
St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arminia Bielefeld Compare
Top Goalscorer Rochelt J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grodowski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
St. Pauli Compare
Top Goalscorer Hara T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ceesay A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arminia Bielefeld 31 / 100
St. Pauli 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arminia Bielefeld St. Pauli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Pauli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arminia Bielefeld scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
St. Pauli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Arminia Bielefeld stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arminia Bielefeld VS St. Pauli
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Arminia Bielefeld
(Home) 03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 Heidenheim
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 Heidenheim
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 St. Pauli
16 Aug
Arminia Bielefeld
3 : 0 Energie Cottbus
25 Jul
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 1 Duisburg
Page 1 of 3
St. Pauli
(Away) 03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1 B. Monchengladbach
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1 St. Pauli
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0 Wolfsburg
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 St. Pauli
30 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 2 Kaiserslautern
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1 St. Pauli
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 St. Pauli
23 Aug
RW Essen
2 : 0 St. Pauli
14 Aug
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 St. Pauli
24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 11 |
| 6 | Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:13 | 8 |
| 8 | Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 9 | St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Hannover | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabruck | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 13 | Greuther Furth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Karlsruher | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 18 | Darmstadt | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
