Sport Picks
Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli
Germany
2. Bundesliga Schüco Arena, Bielefeld 
AI Match Summary
Arminia Bielefeld host St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. St. Pauli have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while Arminia Bielefeld have conceded 1.31 and scored 2. Past meetings favor St. Pauli slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2023, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 3.00 vs 1.69, favoring Arminia Bielefeld. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Arminia Bielefeld lately — more wins on the board than St. Pauli.
- Win probability leans Arminia Bielefeld's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arminia Bielefeld | St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Pauli let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Arminia Bielefeld found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Arminia Bielefeld stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arminia Bielefeld
(Home)St. Pauli
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nurnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha Berlin | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Braunschweig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 3 |
| 5 | Energie Cottbus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 10 | St. Pauli | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 11 | Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 12 | Darmstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Hannover | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Dresden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabruck | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
