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Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabruck - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Schüco Arena, Bielefeld
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arminia Bielefeld host VfL Osnabruck in the 2. Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. VfL Osnabruck have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Arminia Bielefeld have conceded 1.61 and scored 2.36. Past meetings favor Arminia Bielefeld slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.88) back Arminia Bielefeld to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Arminia Bielefeld
35%
Draws
41%
VfL Osnabruck
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: VfL Osnabruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Arminia Bielefeld haven't matched VfL Osnabruck's recent run of results.
  • Arminia Bielefeld are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%
VfL Osnabruck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arminia Bielefeld VfL Osnabruck
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.36 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 3. Liga
VfL Osnabruck vs Arminia Bielefeld
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 3. Liga
Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabruck
3:1
Aug 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabruck
1:1
May 17, 2020 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabruck
1:1
Oct 7, 2019 2. Bundesliga
VfL Osnabruck vs Arminia Bielefeld
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arminia Bielefeld 40 / 100
VfL Osnabruck 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arminia Bielefeld VfL Osnabruck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arminia Bielefeld scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

VfL Osnabruck let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Arminia Bielefeld remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arminia Bielefeld VS VfL Osnabruck
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arminia Bielefeld

(Home)
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 6

VfL Osnabruck

(Away)
10 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1
Dresden
03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1
Djurgarden
02 Oct
Bochum
4 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
23 Sept
Wiedenbruck
0 : 3
VfL Osnabruck
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 7 4 2 1 14:12 14
4 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 Braunschweig 7 2 1 4 13:13 7
9 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
10 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
11 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
14 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
15 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
16 Holstein Kiel 7 0 4 3 7:11 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)