Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arminia Hannover vs TuS Bersenbruck

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arminia Hannover play TuS Bersenbruck in the Oberliga Niedersachsen 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arminia Hannover averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. TuS Bersenbruck averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Arminia Hannover won 3, TuS Bersenbruck won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 17, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Arminia Hannover and 0.99 for TuS Bersenbruck. This points to a TuS Bersenbruck double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arminia Hannover
19%
Draws
45%
TuS Bersenbruck
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: TuS Bersenbruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Arminia Hannover picked up more points recently compared to TuS Bersenbruck.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Arminia Hannover Clean Sheet 23%
TuS Bersenbruck Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arminia Hannover TuS Bersenbruck
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.93 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Arminia Hannover vs TuS Bersenbruck
2:1
Aug 4, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
TuS Bersenbruck vs Arminia Hannover
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
TuS Bersenbruck vs Arminia Hannover
1:4
Oct 1, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Arminia Hannover vs TuS Bersenbruck
2:4
Feb 12, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Arminia Hannover vs TuS Bersenbruck
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arminia Hannover Compare

Top Goalscorer Kummer M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

TuS Bersenbruck Compare

Top Goalscorer Eickschlager M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arminia Hannover 37 / 100
TuS Bersenbruck 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arminia Hannover TuS Bersenbruck

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: TuS Bersenbruck or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arminia Hannover attacking → ← attacking TuS Bersenbruck

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arminia Hannover scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

TuS Bersenbruck let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Arminia Hannover went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TuS Bersenbruck lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hannoverscher SC34187970:5061
2Schoningen341612655:3760
3Delmenhorst34178957:3759
4TuS Bersenbruck341591062:6554
5Spelle-Venhaus341561359:4951
6Heeslinger SC341561364:5551
7Meppen II341481250:5350
8Hildesheim3413101155:4549
9BSV Rehden3413101151:4549
10Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg341361560:6245
11SV Wilhelmshaven341291346:5145
12Egestorf-Langreder3411101332:4043
13Braunschweig U23341181551:5941
14Verden349131260:6740
15Vorsfelde341171640:5240
16Eintracht Celle341061843:6136
17Arminia Hannover34981736:4635
18VfL Oldenburg347111633:5032