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Stadium Background

Arna-Bjornar vs Tertnes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 7
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arna-Bjornar in this Division 3 - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arna-Bjornar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Arna-Bjornar
15%
Draws
59%
Tertnes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tertnes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Arna-Bjornar average 1.67 goals a game right now, well clear of Tertnes's 1.39.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Arna-Bjornar Clean Sheet 20%
Tertnes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arna-Bjornar Tertnes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.67 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Arna-Bjornar vs Tertnes
3:1
Jun 15, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Tertnes vs Arna-Bjornar
2:2
Oct 3, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Arna-Bjornar vs Tertnes
1:1
Jun 13, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Tertnes vs Arna-Bjornar
2:3
Aug 6, 2014 Division 3 - Group 8
Tertnes vs Arna-Bjornar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arna-Bjornar 32 / 100
Tertnes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arna-Bjornar Tertnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arna-Bjornar's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tertnes has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Arna-Bjornar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arna-Bjornar VS Tertnes
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 3.88
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Arna-Bjornar

(Home)
22 Aug
Arna-Bjornar
0 : 1
Asane
03 Feb
Arna-Bjornar
1 : 2
Brann 2
01 May
Arna-Bjornar
1 : 6
Brann
18 Apr
Arna-Bjornar
1 : 2
Lysekloster
22 Oct
Arna-Bjornar
5 : 1
Oystese
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Tertnes

(Away)
27 Oct
Tertnes
3 : 2
Oystese
20 Oct
Sogndal 2
1 : 0
Tertnes
13 Oct
Sotra
4 : 3
Tertnes
06 Oct
Tertnes
1 : 0
Viking 2
29 Sept
Brodd
3 : 3
Tertnes
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