Sport Picks
Arna-Bjornar W vs Stabaek W Prediction & H2H Stats
Norway
Norway Cup Women 2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Natvik I.
34'
34'
Skogedal T.
36'
36'
McAllister P.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with Stabaek W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arna-Bjornar W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stabaek W haven't matched Arna-Bjornar W's recent run of results.
- Arna-Bjornar W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Arna-Bjornar W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Stabaek W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arna-Bjornar W Clean Sheet 20%
Stabaek W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arna-Bjornar W | Stabaek W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 3.06 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Arna-Bjornar W vs Stabaek W
2:3
Oct 5, 2024 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Arna-Bjornar W
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Arna-Bjornar W
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Toppserien Women
Arna-Bjornar W vs Stabaek W
1:2
Sep 16, 2023 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Arna-Bjornar W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arna-Bjornar W Compare
Top Goalscorer Skogedal T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nigardsoy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Stabaek W Compare
Top Goalscorer Natvik I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gumaer K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arna-Bjornar W 85 / 100
Stabaek W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arna-Bjornar W Stabaek W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arna-Bjornar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Stabaek W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Arna-Bjornar W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Arna-Bjornar W found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).
Scoring Trends
Arna-Bjornar W VS Stabaek W
3.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Arna-Bjornar W
(Home) 03 Oct
Arna-Bjornar W
10 : 0 Grei W
30 Sept
Arna-Bjornar W
5 : 0 Frigg W
27 Sept
Tromso W
2 : 3 Arna-Bjornar W
13 Sept
Fyllingsdalen W
4 : 2 Arna-Bjornar W
08 Sept
Fana W
0 : 5 Arna-Bjornar W
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Arna-Bjornar W
10 : 0 Grei W
30 Sept
Arna-Bjornar W
5 : 0 Frigg W
30 Aug
Arna-Bjornar W
2 : 0 Asane W
16 Aug
Arna-Bjornar W
3 : 0 Start W
02 Aug
Arna-Bjornar W
6 : 0 Klepp W
Page 1 of 3
Stabaek W
(Away) 26 Sept
Stabaek W
0 : 1 Brann W
17 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 2 Stabaek W
13 Sept
Stabaek W
5 : 1 LSK Kvinner W
22 Aug
Stabaek W
7 : 1 Bodo/Glimt W
15 Aug
Haugesund W
1 : 1 Stabaek W
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 2 Stabaek W
15 Aug
Haugesund W
1 : 1 Stabaek W
26 Jul
Rosengard W
1 : 0 Stabaek W
17 Jun
Arna-Bjornar W
2 : 3 Stabaek W
29 May
Honefoss W
1 : 2 Stabaek W
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 2
Grei W 5
Bodo/Glimt W -
TBD -
Ovrevoll Hosle W 1
Frigg W 2
TBD -
Lyn W -
Fana W 3
Klepp W 2
Lyngbo W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 5
Forde W 0
Sogndal W 5
TBD -
Brann W -
Raufoss W 0
Viking W 2
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Grimstad W 1
Bryne W 3
Arendal W 0
Start W 7
Ranheim W 1
Tynset W 4
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Kolbotn W 0
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Sandefjord W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 3
KFUM Oslo W 0
Asane W 3
Rana FK W 1
Malvik W 3
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Alta W 3
Krokelvdalen W 0
TBD -
Roa W -
Stromsgodset W 1
Odds BK W 2
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Melbo W 1
Medkila W 8
Lillestrom W 1
Tromso W 9
Storhamar Fotball W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
Valerenga W -
TBD -
Hodd W 0
Kil/Hemne W 3
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Steinkjer W 0
Tiller W 4
TBD -
Molde W -
1/16-finals
Grei W 3
Bodo/Glimt W 1
Frigg W 0
Lyn W 4
Fana W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 1
Sogndal W 1
Brann W 5
Viking W 3
Haugesund W 2
Bryne W 1
Start W 2
Tynset W 0
LSK Kvinner W 3
Sarpsborg 08 W 0
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 1
Asane W 0
Malvik W 0
Rosenborg W 15
Alta W 0
Roa W 10
Odds BK W 0
Stabaek W 4
Medkila W 0
Tromso W 7
Ham-Kam W 1
Valerenga W 8
Kil/Hemne W 1
Aalesund W 6
Tiller W 1
Molde W 3
1/8-finals
Grei W 1
Lyn W 4
Fana W 0
Brann W 3
Viking W 3
Start W 0
LSK Kvinner W 2
Honefoss W 3
Arna-Bjornar W 4
Rosenborg W 0
Roa W 1
Stabaek W 2
Tromso W 1
Valerenga W 3
Aalesund W 5
Molde W 1
Quarter-finals
Lyn W 0
Brann W 2
Viking W 4
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 2
Stabaek W 3
Valerenga W 1
Aalesund W 2
Semi-finals
Brann W 3
Viking W 0
Stabaek W 3
Aalesund W 4
Final
Brann W 3
Aalesund W 1
