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Arna-Bjornar W vs Tromso W

Norway Norway

Division 1 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Granlind E.
38' Event
Elvbo J.
45' Event
Dalsgard M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 Women game between Arna-Bjornar W and Tromso W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tromso W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Arna-Bjornar W
6%
Draws
4%
Tromso W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arna-Bjornar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arna-Bjornar W come out ahead of Tromso W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arna-Bjornar W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Arna-Bjornar W Clean Sheet 20%
Tromso W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arna-Bjornar W Tromso W
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 17 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Division 1 Women
Arna-Bjornar W vs Tromso W
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 Division 1 Women
Arna-Bjornar W vs Tromso W
5:5
May 11, 2025 Division 1 Women
Tromso W vs Arna-Bjornar W
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 Division 1 Women
Arna-Bjornar W vs Tromso W
0:0
May 5, 2024 Division 1 Women
Tromso W vs Arna-Bjornar W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arna-Bjornar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalsgard M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Tromso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Elvbo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Granlind E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arna-Bjornar W 85 / 100
Tromso W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arna-Bjornar W Tromso W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Arna-Bjornar W scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Tromso W conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Tromso W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arna-Bjornar W VS Tromso W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Start W1192025:1129
2Asane W1073020:624
3Viking W1072131:1123
4Arna-Bjornar W1162325:1120
5Tromso W1052320:917
6Odds BK W1144316:1416
7Bryne W114259:1414
8Kolbotn W1132617:1811
9Grei W1131722:2510
10Fyllingsdalen W1130812:289
11Klepp W1020812:376
12Frigg W1110105:303