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Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Aliaga

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sarikaya M.
Assist: Arslan A.
18' Event
Dincer C.
Assist: Ulupinar F.
30' Event
Sarikaya M.
Assist: Arslan A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group game between Arnavutkoy Bl. and Aliaga finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aliaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Arnavutkoy Bl.
20%
Draws
29%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arnavutkoy Bl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aliaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Arnavutkoy Bl. taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Aliaga have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Arnavutkoy Bl. Clean Sheet 68%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnavutkoy Bl. Aliaga
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 13 20
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.27 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Aliaga
1:4
Mar 14, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Aliaga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnavutkoy Bl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Dincer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarikaya M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Arslan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnavutkoy Bl. 77 / 100
Aliaga 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnavutkoy Bl. Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnavutkoy Bl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnavutkoy Bl.'s goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aliaga has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Arnavutkoy Bl. stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arnavutkoy Bl. VS Aliaga
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnavutkoy Bl.

(Home)
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
25 Apr
Arnavutkoy Bl.
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
18 Apr
Adanaspor AS
0 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
12 Apr
Musspor
2 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
05 Apr
Arnavutkoy Bl.
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Page 1 of 6

Aliaga

(Away)
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
04 May
Musspor
1 : 0
Aliaga
30 Apr
Aliaga
1 : 1
Musspor
25 Apr
Aliaga
0 : 5
Bursaspor
19 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Aliaga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corluspor 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Aliaga 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Elazigspor 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Inegol Kafkas 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Guzide Gebzespor 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Sanliurfaspor 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Erbaaspor 1 0 1 0 4:4 1
8 Musspor 1 0 1 0 4:4 1
9 Aksaray Bld. 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
10 Soma Spor 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
11 Isparta 32 Spor 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Ankaraspor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Menemenspor 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Sebat Spor Kulubu 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Arnavutkoy Bl. 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Kastamonuspor 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
17 Hatayspor 1 0 0 1 0:2 -6
18 Adanademirspor 1 1 0 0 2:1 -45
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)