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Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Aliaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sarikaya M.
Assist: Arslan A.
18' Event
Dincer C.
Assist: Ulupinar F.
30' Event
Sarikaya M.
Assist: Arslan A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group game between Arnavutkoy Bl. and Aliaga finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aliaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Arnavutkoy Bl.
15%
Draws
85%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aliaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Aliaga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Aliaga have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Arnavutkoy Bl. Clean Sheet 10%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnavutkoy Bl. Aliaga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.9 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Aliaga
1:4
Mar 14, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Aliaga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnavutkoy Bl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Dincer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarikaya M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Arslan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnavutkoy Bl. 10 / 100
Aliaga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnavutkoy Bl. Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Arnavutkoy Bl. scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Aliaga's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arnavutkoy Bl. VS Aliaga
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnavutkoy Bl.

(Home)
01 Nov
Erbaaspor
2 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
28 Oct
Balikesirspor
1 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
24 Oct
Arnavutkoy Bl.
0 : 2
Sanliurfaspor
17 Oct
Elazigspor
3 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
10 Oct
Arnavutkoy Bl.
2 : 3
Isparta 32 Spor
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Aliaga

(Away)
01 Nov
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 2
Aliaga
27 Oct
Pazarspor
0 : 1
Aliaga
24 Oct
Aliaga
2 : 1
Aksaray Bld.
18 Oct
Soma Spor
1 : 2
Aliaga
10 Oct
Aliaga
1 : 0
Menemenspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elazigspor 9 7 1 1 27:7 22
2 Musspor 9 7 1 1 29:13 22
3 Guzide Gebzespor 9 6 3 0 17:8 21
4 Aliaga 9 7 0 2 19:14 21
5 Inegol Kafkas 9 6 1 2 17:11 19
6 Sanliurfaspor 9 5 3 1 20:11 18
7 Corluspor 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
8 Erbaaspor 9 4 1 4 19:15 13
9 Menemenspor 9 4 1 4 11:10 13
10 Isparta 32 Spor 9 3 2 4 16:20 11
11 Aksaray Bld. 9 2 3 4 15:14 9
12 Sebat Spor Kulubu 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
13 Ankaraspor 9 3 0 6 11:16 9
14 Soma Spor 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
15 Kastamonuspor 9 2 1 6 7:26 4
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 9 0 0 9 4:21 -3
17 Hatayspor 9 1 1 7 4:17 -5
18 Adanademirspor 9 2 1 6 7:19 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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