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Arnedo vs CD Calahorra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Vidorreta Larumbe J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Arnedo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Arnedo
15%
Draws
51%
CD Calahorra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Calahorra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Calahorra haven't matched Arnedo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Arnedo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arnedo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 14%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo CD Calahorra
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.06 2.4
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CD Calahorra
1:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CD Calahorra
0:0
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Calahorra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 31 / 100
CD Calahorra 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo CD Calahorra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calahorra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arnedo scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: CD Calahorra registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Calahorra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS CD Calahorra
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
Page 1 of 7

CD Calahorra

(Away)
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
17 May
CD Calahorra
0 : 2
Arnedo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Arnedo 3
CD Calahorra 0
Varea 0
Oyonesa 2
Final
Arnedo 3
Oyonesa 2