Sport Picks
Arnedo vs Ciudad de Alfaro
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 game between Arnedo and Ciudad de Alfaro finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnedo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arnedo come out ahead of Ciudad de Alfaro on wins alone.
- Model gives Arnedo a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 20%
Ciudad de Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arnedo | Ciudad de Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 5 |
| Draws | 12 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.48 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Arnedo
0:0
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Ciudad de Alfaro
1:0
Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Ciudad de Alfaro
0:0
Sep 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Arnedo
1:0
Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Ciudad de Alfaro
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arnedo 85 / 100
Ciudad de Alfaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arnedo Ciudad de Alfaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arnedo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 40 recent games.
Away concern: Ciudad de Alfaro has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Ciudad de Alfaro let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Arnedo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arnedo VS -
3.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arnedo
(Home) 20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0 CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0 Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2 Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0 Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0 CD Calahorra
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20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0 CD Tropezon
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2 Oyonesa
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0 CD Calahorra
10 May
Arnedo
1 : 0 Haro Deportivo
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1 Villegas
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Ciudad de Alfaro
(Away) 16 May
Casalarreina CF
5 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
10 May
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 4 Yague
03 May
Vianes
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
25 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
19 Apr
Ciudad de Alfaro
3 : 5 Varea
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16 May
Casalarreina CF
5 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
03 May
Vianes
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
25 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
12 Apr
Villegas
0 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
29 Mar
River Ebro
1 : 0 Ciudad de Alfaro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varea | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 101:40 | 88 |
| 2 | Haro Deportivo | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 92:24 | 83 |
| 3 | Naxara | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 86:33 | 76 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:38 | 76 |
| 5 | Vianes | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 65:41 | 73 |
| 6 | Alfaro | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 59:27 | 71 |
| 7 | Oyonesa | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 49:32 | 71 |
| 8 | CD Calahorra | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 59:27 | 71 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 56:43 | 55 |
| 10 | River Ebro | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 56:65 | 47 |
| 11 | CDFC La Calzada | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 39:69 | 42 |
| 12 | Ciudad de Alfaro | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:58 | 39 |
| 13 | Pena Balsamaiso | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 37:74 | 37 |
| 14 | Arnedo | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 33:58 | 37 |
| 15 | Villegas | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 37:59 | 36 |
| 16 | Calasancio | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 32:52 | 36 |
| 17 | San Marcial | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 45:78 | 33 |
| 18 | Pradejon | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 39:77 | 32 |
| 19 | Berceo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 35:67 | 29 |
| 20 | CCD Alberite | 38 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 36:109 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
