Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnedo vs Pradejon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Guijarro I.
30' Event
Hernandez D.
34' Event
Vidorreta Larumbe J.

AI Match Summary

Arnedo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arnedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Arnedo
15%
Draws
32%
Pradejon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Arnedo have won more games recently than Pradejon.
  • Model gives Arnedo a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Arnedo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 20%
Pradejon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo Pradejon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.13 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.07 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Pradejon
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Arnedo
1:3
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Arnedo
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Pradejon
2:1
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Arnedo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 1.03

Pradejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Guijarro I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 85 / 100
Pradejon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo Pradejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnedo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arnedo scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Pradejon has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Arnedo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS Pradejon
2 Goals Scored 1.14
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

Pradejon

(Away)
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1
Pradejon
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Berceo
4 : 1
Pradejon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)