Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnedo vs San Marcial

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arnedo in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arnedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arnedo
35%
Draws
25%
San Marcial
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arnedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Arnedo have won more games recently than San Marcial.
  • Win probability leans Arnedo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo San Marcial
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs San Marcial
7:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Arnedo
0:0
Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs San Marcial
2:1
Aug 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Arnedo
0:2
Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs San Marcial
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 85 / 100
San Marcial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo San Marcial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnedo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnedo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: San Marcial conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Arnedo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS San Marcial
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
Page 1 of 6

San Marcial

(Away)
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
03 May
Haro Deportivo
0 : 0
San Marcial
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3
Agoncillo
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
San Marcial
0 : 4
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Calahorra 38 30 5 3 116:20 95
2 Naxara 38 28 7 3 117:30 91
3 SD Logrones 38 29 4 5 110:25 91
4 Anguiano 38 29 4 5 115:40 91
5 Haro Deportivo 38 28 7 3 115:33 91
6 Varea 37 27 4 6 91:28 85
7 Alfaro 38 24 3 11 78:56 75
8 UD Logrones B 38 20 5 13 64:45 65
9 Agoncillo 38 13 6 19 50:60 45
10 Oyonesa 38 11 6 21 45:74 39
11 Vianes 37 12 2 23 45:112 38
12 CD Tedeon 38 9 10 19 43:68 37
13 Arnedo 38 8 11 19 39:67 35
14 River Ebro 37 9 8 20 48:80 35
15 Casalarreina CF 38 9 6 23 42:78 33
16 Villegas 38 9 6 23 37:85 33
17 Calasancio 38 8 7 23 24:77 31
18 CDFC La Calzada 38 8 5 25 35:84 29
19 San Marcial 37 5 7 25 44:106 22
20 CF Rapid 38 2 7 29 24:114 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)