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Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Anglin J.
56' Event
Edwards R.
69' Event
Reid F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Arnett Gardens
15%
Draws
31%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnett Gardens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mount Pleasant lately — more wins on the board than Arnett Gardens.
  • Model gives Arnett Gardens a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mount Pleasant have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 68%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnett Gardens Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 14 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.64
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant
1:1
Jan 29, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Arnett Gardens
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Arnett Gardens
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnett Gardens Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnett Gardens 95 / 100
Mount Pleasant 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnett Gardens Mount Pleasant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnett Gardens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arnett Gardens scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Mount Pleasant has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Arnett Gardens went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arnett Gardens VS Mount Pleasant
3.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnett Gardens

(Home)
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
26 Apr
Portmore
1 : 2
Arnett Gardens
24 Apr
Arnett Gardens
2 : 1
Cavalier
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Mount Pleasant

(Away)
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)