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Arnett Gardens vs Spanish Town Police

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Blackwood C.
78' Event
Reid F.
88' Event
Mcgregor J.

AI Match Summary

Spanish Town Police in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spanish Town Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Arnett Gardens
6%
Draws
4%
Spanish Town Police
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arnett Gardens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spanish Town Police haven't matched Arnett Gardens's recent run of results.
  • Arnett Gardens are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Arnett Gardens have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 68%
Spanish Town Police Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnett Gardens Spanish Town Police
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Spanish Town Police
6:0
Feb 24, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Spanish Town Police
1:2
Dec 10, 2025 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs Arnett Gardens
2:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnett Gardens Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spanish Town Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackwood C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mcgregor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnett Gardens 95 / 100
Spanish Town Police 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnett Gardens Spanish Town Police

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spanish Town Police has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Spanish Town Police has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Arnett Gardens found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Arnett Gardens VS Spanish Town Police
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126