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Arnstadt vs An der Fahner Hohe

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arnstadt play An der Fahner Hohe in the Club Friendly 2024. An der Fahner Hohe are favorites here. Recently, Arnstadt averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.55 conceded. An der Fahner Hohe averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Arnstadt won 0, An der Fahner Hohe won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 23, 2024 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Arnstadt and 3.88 for An der Fahner Hohe. This points to a An der Fahner Hohe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Arnstadt
15%
Draws
64%
An der Fahner Hohe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: An der Fahner Hohe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Arnstadt picked up more points recently compared to An der Fahner Hohe.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 3.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%
An der Fahner Hohe Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnstadt An der Fahner Hohe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 5.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Arnstadt vs An der Fahner Hohe
1:5
Apr 6, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
An der Fahner Hohe vs Arnstadt
2:1
Aug 18, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs An der Fahner Hohe
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwinkmann P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

An der Fahner Hohe Compare

Top Goalscorer Hess E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Baumgart M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.55
Avg xA / game 2.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 21 / 100
An der Fahner Hohe 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnstadt An der Fahner Hohe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick An der Fahner Hohe Win (2)
Secondary Pick An der Fahner Hohe & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arnstadt attacking → ← attacking An der Fahner Hohe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnstadt scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

An der Fahner Hohe let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Arnstadt went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

An der Fahner Hohe lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 42
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 5.00
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00