Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnstadt vs Freital

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ranninger E.
58' Event
Martinez M.
67' Event
Hennig F.

AI Match Summary

Freital in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arnstadt
6%
Draws
90%
Freital
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Freital lately — more wins on the board than Arnstadt.
  • Freital are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Freital Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnstadt Freital
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 23
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 4 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Freital
1:3
Aug 5, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Arnstadt
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Freital Compare

Top Goalscorer Hennig F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ranninger E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 10 / 100
Freital 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnstadt Freital

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freital's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Freital lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Arnstadt found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Arnstadt VS Freital
2 Goals Scored 1.63
4 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bischofswerdaer30217278:3370
2Plauen30224463:1970
3Halberstadt30186671:4560
4Magdeburg II30174970:4355
5Auerbach30174964:3855
6Krieschow301441259:5246
7Sandersdorf301331449:4642
8Freital301241443:4640
9Einheit Wernigerode301061454:6736
10Bautzen30981345:5235
11Einheit Rudolstadt301041640:5334
12Grimma30951640:6332
13Ludwigsfelder30871539:5031
14Halle30861647:6230
15Motor Marienberg30642033:9322
16Arnstadt30561935:6821