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Arnstadt vs Jena II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022
Arnstadt Logo

Arnstadt

4 - 1
FT
Jena II Logo

Jena II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022 game between Arnstadt and Jena II finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Arnstadt
15%
Draws
42%
Jena II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Jena II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jena II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Jena II Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnstadt Jena II
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Jena II
4:1
Oct 1, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Arnstadt
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 10 / 100
Jena II 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnstadt Jena II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Jena II has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Difficult form: Jena II registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Arnstadt scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Arnstadt VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnstadt

(Home)
15 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 2
Arnstadt
09 Jul
Arnstadt
1 : 6
Einheit Rudolstadt
08 Jun
Arnstadt
0 : 6
Bischofswerdaer
02 Jun
Krieschow
3 : 1
Arnstadt
18 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 2
Arnstadt
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Jena II

(Away)
18 Jun
Jena II
2 : 6
Krieschow
11 Jun
Jena II
4 : 2
Bautzen
04 Jun
Jena II
0 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
28 May
Inter Leipzig
4 : 0
Jena II
21 May
Grimma
3 : 0
Jena II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 29 25 3 1 103:16 78
2 Krieschow 29 17 7 5 72:34 58
3 Plauen 29 17 7 5 61:25 58
4 Bautzen 30 16 3 11 74:59 51
5 Sandersdorf 30 13 7 10 48:33 46
6 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 29 12 4 13 43:47 40
7 Einheit Wernigerode 29 11 7 11 49:54 40
8 Halle 30 10 11 9 52:46 41
9 Einheit Rudolstadt 31 10 11 10 42:51 41
10 Bischofswerdaer 30 9 11 10 45:48 38
11 An der Fahner Hohe 30 11 4 15 32:44 37
12 Blau-Weiss Zorbau 30 8 11 11 41:62 35
13 Grimma 29 9 7 13 45:48 34
14 Wacker Nordhausen 30 6 11 13 33:55 29
15 Inter Leipzig 29 8 4 17 43:76 28
16 Arnstadt 29 4 9 16 31:73 21
17 FSV Martinroda 30 4 7 19 34:73 19
18 Jena II 29 11 6 12 0:0 0
19 FC Merseburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2022/2023 (Main)