Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024

Arnstadt

4 - 3

Ludwigsfelder

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Scheuring L.

24'

Scheuring L.

38'

Scheuring L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arnstadt in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arnstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Arnstadt

Draws

Ludwigsfelder

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arnstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Arnstadt haven't matched Ludwigsfelder's recent run of results.
Model gives Arnstadt a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Arnstadt Clean Sheet 20%

Ludwigsfelder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arnstadt	Ludwigsfelder
Matches Played	29	35
Wins	4	5
Draws	5	4
Losses	20	26
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud

Arnstadt vs Ludwigsfelder

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

4:3

Nov 4, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud

Ludwigsfelder vs Arnstadt

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Scheuring L.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Hertel B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Ludwigsfelder Compare

Top Goalscorer Eirich A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bache L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 85 / 100

Ludwigsfelder 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arnstadt Ludwigsfelder

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ludwigsfelder conceded in 89% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Ludwigsfelder lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Arnstadt's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arnstadt VS Ludwigsfelder

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 2.75

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bischofswerdaer	30	21	7	2	78:33	70
2	Plauen	30	22	4	4	63:19	70
3	Halberstadt	30	18	6	6	71:45	60
4	Magdeburg II	30	17	4	9	70:43	55
5	Auerbach	30	17	4	9	64:38	55
6	Krieschow	30	14	4	12	59:52	46
7	Sandersdorf	30	13	3	14	49:46	42
8	Freital	30	12	4	14	43:46	40
9	Einheit Wernigerode	30	10	6	14	54:67	36
10	Bautzen	30	9	8	13	45:52	35
11	Einheit Rudolstadt	30	10	4	16	40:53	34
12	Grimma	30	9	5	16	40:63	32
13	Ludwigsfelder	30	8	7	15	39:50	31
14	Halle	30	8	6	16	47:62	30
15	Motor Marienberg	30	6	4	20	33:93	22
16	Arnstadt	30	5	6	19	35:68	21