Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnstadt vs Ludwigsfelder

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Scheuring L.
24' Event
Scheuring L.
38' Event
Scheuring L.

AI Match Summary

Arnstadt in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arnstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Arnstadt
15%
Draws
42%
Ludwigsfelder
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Arnstadt haven't matched Ludwigsfelder's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arnstadt a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Ludwigsfelder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnstadt Ludwigsfelder
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 26
Goals Scored 1.13 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Ludwigsfelder
4:3
Nov 4, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Arnstadt
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Scheuring L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hertel B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Ludwigsfelder Compare

Top Goalscorer Eirich A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bache L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 38 / 100
Ludwigsfelder 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnstadt Ludwigsfelder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnstadt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ludwigsfelder conceded in 86% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Ludwigsfelder lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Arnstadt's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arnstadt VS Ludwigsfelder
2 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnstadt

(Home)
15 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 2
Arnstadt
09 Jul
Arnstadt
1 : 6
Einheit Rudolstadt
08 Jun
Arnstadt
0 : 6
Bischofswerdaer
02 Jun
Krieschow
3 : 1
Arnstadt
18 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 2
Arnstadt
Page 1 of 6

Ludwigsfelder

(Away)
18 Jul
Rathenow
0 : 3
Ludwigsfelder
28 Jun
Ludwigsfelder
0 : 3
Hertha Berlin
31 May
Ludwigsfelder
1 : 4
Einheit Rudolstadt
25 May
Halberstadt
5 : 0
Ludwigsfelder
17 May
Ludwigsfelder
0 : 2
Krieschow
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)