Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnstadt vs Plauen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Jusic J.
79' Event
Boateng A.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 game between Arnstadt and Plauen finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plauen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arnstadt
20%
Draws
50%
Plauen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plauen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Plauen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Plauen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Plauen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Plauen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnstadt Plauen
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 4 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Plauen
0:2
Oct 21, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Plauen vs Arnstadt
3:0
May 25, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Plauen
0:2
Oct 23, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Plauen vs Arnstadt
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnstadt Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Plauen Compare

Top Goalscorer Jusic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boateng A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 10 / 100
Plauen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnstadt Plauen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plauen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Plauen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 37 matches.

Arnstadt's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arnstadt has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arnstadt VS Plauen
2 Goals Scored 1.75
4 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnstadt

(Home)
15 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 2
Arnstadt
09 Jul
Arnstadt
1 : 6
Einheit Rudolstadt
08 Jun
Arnstadt
0 : 6
Bischofswerdaer
02 Jun
Krieschow
3 : 1
Arnstadt
18 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 2
Arnstadt
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Plauen

(Away)
19 Sept
Plauen
1 : 2
Krieschow
13 Sept
Glauchau
1 : 1
Plauen
29 Aug
Plauen
2 : 2
Einheit Wernigerode
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
09 Aug
Plauen
3 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)