Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnstadt vs Plauen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Jusic J.
79' Event
Boateng A.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 game between Arnstadt and Plauen finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plauen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arnstadt
6%
Draws
90%
Plauen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Plauen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Plauen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Plauen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Plauen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Plauen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnstadt Plauen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Plauen
0:2
Oct 21, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Plauen vs Arnstadt
3:0
May 25, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Plauen
0:2
Oct 23, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Plauen vs Arnstadt
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnstadt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Plauen Compare

Top Goalscorer Jusic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boateng A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 10 / 100
Plauen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnstadt Plauen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Plauen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Plauen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Arnstadt scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arnstadt VS Plauen
2 Goals Scored 1.5
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bischofswerdaer30217278:3370
2Plauen30224463:1970
3Halberstadt30186671:4560
4Magdeburg II30174970:4355
5Auerbach30174964:3855
6Krieschow301441259:5246
7Sandersdorf301331449:4642
8Freital301241443:4640
9Einheit Wernigerode301061454:6736
10Bautzen30981345:5235
11Einheit Rudolstadt301041640:5334
12Grimma30951640:6332
13Ludwigsfelder30871539:5031
14Halle30861647:6230
15Motor Marienberg30642033:9322
16Arnstadt30561935:6821