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Arosa SC vs Bergantinos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arosa SC host Bergantinos in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bergantinos have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Arosa SC have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Arosa SC have won 0 to Bergantinos's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.06, favoring Arosa SC. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Arosa SC
30%
Draws
56%
Bergantinos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Arosa SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bergantinos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 10%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arosa SC Bergantinos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Arosa SC vs Bergantinos
1:2
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Arosa SC
0:0
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Bergantinos
1:3
May 15, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Bergantinos
1:1
Jan 8, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Arosa SC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arosa SC 10 / 100
Bergantinos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arosa SC Bergantinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arosa SC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Bergantinos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Arosa SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arosa SC VS Bergantinos
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arosa SC

(Home)
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0
Arosa SC
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 6

Bergantinos

(Away)
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1
Coruxo FC
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)