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Arosa SC vs Compostela

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Guisande A.
39' Event
Guisande A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Arosa SC and Compostela finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Compostela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Arosa SC
20%
Draws
20%
Compostela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arosa SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arosa SC come out ahead of Compostela on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Arosa SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Compostela have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 68%
Compostela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arosa SC Compostela
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 18 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.69 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Compostela
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Arosa SC
1:0
Apr 24, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Arosa SC
2:1
Dec 5, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Compostela
0:1
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Compostela
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arosa SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Compostela Compare

Top Goalscorer Guisande A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arosa SC 95 / 100
Compostela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arosa SC Compostela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arosa SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arosa SC's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Arosa SC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Compostela conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Arosa SC VS Compostela
1.8 Goals Scored 1.88
0.6 Goals Conceded 1
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arosa SC

(Home)
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2
Arosa SC
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
19 Apr
Barco
0 : 1
Arosa SC
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Compostela

(Away)
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
19 Aug
Montaneros
1 : 1
Compostela
18 Jul
Compostela
0 : 4
Dep. A Coruna
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0
Compostela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)