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Arosa SC vs Gernika Club Prediction & H2H Stats

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ortiz J.
33' Event
Ortiz J.
51' Event
Ortiz J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Arosa SC and Gernika Club finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gernika Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Arosa SC
35%
Draws
40%
Gernika Club
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arosa SC come out ahead of Gernika Club on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 16%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arosa SC Gernika Club
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Gernika Club
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arosa SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gernika Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Arberas X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arosa SC 31 / 100
Gernika Club 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arosa SC Gernika Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arosa SC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Gernika Club has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Arosa SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arosa SC VS Gernika Club
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arosa SC

(Home)
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
Page 1 of 6

Gernika Club

(Away)
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Gernika Club
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0
Llanera
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Alaves B 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
3 Sestao 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
4 Eibar B 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
5 Ourense CF 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
6 Gernika Club 4 2 2 0 11:3 8
7 Basconia 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Portugalete 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Coruxo FC 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
10 Amorebieta 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
11 Compostela 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
12 Real Oviedo B 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
13 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
14 Atletico Astorga 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
15 Marino De Luanco 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Llanera 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
17 Arosa SC 4 0 2 2 6:13 2
18 Rayo Cantabria 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)