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Arroyo vs CD Badajoz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Bermudez J.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Bermudez J.

AI Match Summary

CD Badajoz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Arroyo
15%
Draws
78%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Badajoz have won more games recently than Arroyo.
  • Win probability leans CD Badajoz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CD Badajoz here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 10%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arroyo CD Badajoz
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 22
Draws 7 5
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 0.83 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Badajoz
0:2
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Arroyo
3:0
Apr 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Badajoz
0:4
Dec 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Arroyo
2:0
Apr 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Badajoz
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arroyo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bermudez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arroyo 10 / 100
CD Badajoz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arroyo CD Badajoz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Arroyo scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

CD Badajoz let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Arroyo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Badajoz
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arroyo

(Home)
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2
CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0
Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4
SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0
Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2
CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 6

CD Badajoz

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1
Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5
CD Badajoz
19 Aug
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)