Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs BATE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Haradski Stadium, Barysaw
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk host BATE in the Vysshaya Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk at 1.21 goals for, 1.59 against; BATE at 0.89 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Arsenal Dzerzhinsk slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.31, favoring Arsenal Dzerzhinsk. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
35%
Draws
37%
BATE
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BATE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have won more games recently than BATE.
  • Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 18%
BATE Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Dzerzhinsk BATE
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.21 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:3
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
BATE vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:0
May 2, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs BATE
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
BATE vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 36 / 100
BATE 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk BATE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

BATE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS BATE
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Home)
09 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 6

BATE

(Away)
14 Oct
BATE
0 : 2
Neman
10 Oct
BATE
2 : 1
Slavia Mozyr
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ML Vitebsk 23 14 8 1 49:18 50
2 Din. Minsk 23 15 4 4 43:19 49
3 Isloch Minsk 23 13 7 3 37:18 46
4 Neman 24 13 4 7 31:20 43
5 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
6 FC Gomel 24 11 6 7 34:23 39
7 Vitebsk 24 10 7 7 28:21 37
8 FC Minsk 24 10 4 10 30:29 34
9 Zhodino 24 8 6 10 29:31 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 24 6 7 11 25:31 25
11 FK Baranovici 24 6 7 11 24:41 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 BATE 24 4 9 11 18:30 21
14 Belshina 23 5 6 12 23:40 21
15 Naftan 24 4 5 15 24:55 17
16 Dnepr Mogilev 24 2 10 12 22:39 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)