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Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FK Baranovici

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Club Friendly
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Match Events

8' Event
64' Event
75' Event

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk host FK Baranovici in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. FK Baranovici have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have won 2 to FK Baranovici's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.50) point toward Arsenal Dzerzhinsk. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30%
Draws
34%
FK Baranovici
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal Dzerzhinsk has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FK Baranovici.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 16%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Dzerzhinsk FK Baranovici
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FK Baranovici
0:4
Oct 28, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FK Baranovici
3:0
Jun 24, 2023 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:2
Oct 16, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FK Baranovici
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 36 / 100
FK Baranovici 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk FK Baranovici

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

FK Baranovici let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Baranovici lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS FK Baranovici
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%