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Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Isloch Minsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Haradski Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Shramchenko A. In: Kovalevich M.
Out: Shramchenko A.
23' Event
Lovets Y.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Svirepa A.
Assist: Tikhomirov I.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Isloch Minsk finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
11%
Draws
80%
Isloch Minsk
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Isloch Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Isloch Minsk come out ahead of Arsenal Dzerzhinsk on wins alone.
  • Isloch Minsk are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 12%
Isloch Minsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Isloch Minsk
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Isloch Minsk
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Isloch Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
4:0
Oct 17, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Isloch Minsk
0:1
May 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Isloch Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Isloch Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorbachik V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Isloch Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Svirepa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Butko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 11 / 100
Isloch Minsk 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Isloch Minsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ISL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Isloch Minsk conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS Isloch Minsk
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1575321:1326
5Dynamo Brest1573524:1524
6Zhodino1565423:1323
7FC Minsk1564521:2022
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1556418:2121
9Neman1563616:1521
10Vitebsk1555516:1620
11FK Baranovici1544715:2616
12Slavia Mozyr1536614:2215
13Dnepr Mogilev1525812:2211
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316