Sport Picks
Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas
Argentina
Primera B Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, Avellaneda 
Match Events
14'
14'
Ledesma D.
19'
19'
Sosa M.
38'
38'
Fernandez M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Arsenal Sarandi and Excursionistas finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal Sarandi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal Sarandi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Excursionistas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Arsenal Sarandi a 43% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 68%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal Sarandi | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Arsenal Sarandi
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsenal Sarandi Compare
Top Goalscorer Sosa M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Benitez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Excursionistas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal Sarandi 59 / 100
Excursionistas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal Sarandi Excursionistas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arsenal Sarandi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Arsenal Sarandi scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Excursionistas conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Arsenal Sarandi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal Sarandi VS Excursionistas
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal Sarandi
(Home) 26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 CSD Liniers
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 UAI Urquiza
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 CSD Liniers
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 UAI Urquiza
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 Ituzaingo
15 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
0 : 1 Talleres Remedios Escalada
Page 1 of 3
Excursionistas
(Away) 25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
22 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2 Excursionistas
08 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Jul
Flandria
1 : 1 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 59:29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 50:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 40:21 | 67 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 37 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 38:21 | 64 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 42:27 | 63 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 43:28 | 62 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 40:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 39:38 | 57 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 38:33 | 54 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 44:49 | 48 |
| 11 | Dock Sud | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 12 | San Martin Burzaco | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 37:40 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 36:39 | 44 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 36:51 | 43 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 29:36 | 42 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 32:38 | 40 |
| 18 | CSD Liniers | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30:39 | 40 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 24:37 | 38 |
| 20 | Flandria | 37 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 37 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 18:33 | 32 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 37 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 23:59 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
