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Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martin Burzaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, Avellaneda
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Brienzo N.
37'
Zagert E.
45' Event
Velazquez R.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Sarandi in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal Sarandi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arsenal Sarandi
15%
Draws
45%
San Martin Burzaco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Martin Burzaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arsenal Sarandi lately — more wins on the board than San Martin Burzaco.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal Sarandi's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 20%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Sarandi San Martin Burzaco
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.18 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martin Burzaco
3:1
May 31, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Arsenal Sarandi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Sarandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sosa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Martin Burzaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Velazquez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Sarandi 36 / 100
San Martin Burzaco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Sarandi San Martin Burzaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Sarandi's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Martin Burzaco conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Arsenal Sarandi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Sarandi VS San Martin Burzaco
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Sarandi

(Home)
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0
Arsenal Sarandi
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
CSD Liniers
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
Page 1 of 6

San Martin Burzaco

(Away)
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
3 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Laferrere
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
05 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 0
Deportivo Armenio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)