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Arsenal Sarandi vs Villa San Carlos

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Del Col M.
27'
Franco L.
31'
Ojeda F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arsenal Sarandi
39%
Draws
31%
Villa San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arsenal Sarandi lately — more wins on the board than Villa San Carlos.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 68%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Sarandi Villa San Carlos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Villa San Carlos
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Sarandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader La Roza U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Villa San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Melillo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Sarandi 41 / 100
Villa San Carlos 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Sarandi Villa San Carlos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa San Carlos let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Arsenal Sarandi scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Arsenal Sarandi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Sarandi VS Villa San Carlos
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas25146537:1748
2Arsenal Sarandi25138436:1947
3Villa Dalmine25138430:1447
4Talleres Remedios Escalada25137528:1346
5Deportivo Camioneros25128529:1744
6Sportivo Italiano25118625:2041
7Real Pilar25107829:2837
8Deportivo Armenio25106928:2936
9San Martin Burzaco25811625:2135
10Comunicaciones2598828:2635
11Laferrere2598827:3035
12Dep. Merlo2598830:3735
13Argentino de Merlo2597924:2234
14Argentino de Quilmes2579925:2830
15Dock Sud25610925:2428
16CSD Liniers25681116:2526
17Flandria25751320:3126
18UAI Urquiza25315712:2024
19Defensores Unidos25591120:2924
20Brown Adrogue25591116:2824
21Villa San Carlos254101124:3122
22Ituzaingo25171718:4310