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Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant Prediction & H2H Stats

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion u Parku, Tivat
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lambulic L.
23'
Petovic G.
39'
Rudovic V.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga game between Arsenal Tivat and Otrant finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Otrant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Arsenal Tivat
15%
Draws
64%
Otrant
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otrant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Otrant come out ahead of Arsenal Tivat on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 18%
Otrant Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tivat Otrant
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Otrant vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
May 18, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Arsenal Tivat
4:1
Mar 29, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Arsenal Tivat
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukcevic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Otrant Compare

Top Goalscorer Lambulic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taipi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tivat 32 / 100
Otrant 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tivat Otrant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Arsenal Tivat scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Otrant conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Arsenal Tivat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tivat VS Otrant
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tivat

(Home)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
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Otrant

(Away)
26 Sept
Dinamo City
4 : 1
Otrant
20 Sept
Otrant
4 : 1
Jezero
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
10 Sept
Bokelj
2 : 1
Otrant
05 Sept
Otrant
2 : 0
Buducnost
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 9 5 1 3 15:10 16
2 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
4 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
6 Mornar Bar 9 3 4 2 9:7 13
7 Mladost DG 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
8 Jezero 9 2 3 4 9:15 9
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)