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Arsenal (TO) vs Araguaina

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araguaina in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arsenal (TO)
6%
Draws
90%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Arsenal (TO) haven't matched Araguaina's recent run of results.
  • Araguaina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Arsenal (TO) Clean Sheet 20%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal (TO) Araguaina
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 1 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Tocantinense
Arsenal (TO) vs Araguaina
1:2
Apr 24, 2019 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Arsenal (TO)
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal (TO) 10 / 100
Araguaina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal (TO) Araguaina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Arsenal (TO) scored in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Araguaina let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Araguaina's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Araguaina
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal (TO)

(Home)
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
SD Sparta
1 : 0
Arsenal (TO)
19 Oct
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Arsenal (TO)
12 Oct
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
12 May
Arsenal (TO)
1 : 2
Araguaina
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Araguaina

(Away)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmas640210:712
2Forca Jovem Aquidaba62229:88
3Interporto62138:87
4Alvorada62137:117
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis842216:1014
2SD Sparta842211:914
3Cerrado83329:812
4Araguaina81436:97
5Arsenal (TO)813414:206
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)