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Arsenal (TO) vs Cerrado Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Arsenal (TO) Logo

Arsenal (TO)

3 - 2
FT
Cerrado Logo

Cerrado

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arsenal (TO) in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal (TO).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Arsenal (TO)
15%
Draws
85%
Cerrado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerrado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Cerrado have won more games recently than Arsenal (TO).
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Arsenal (TO) taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arsenal (TO) Clean Sheet 16%
Cerrado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal (TO) Cerrado
Matches Played 12 17
Wins 1 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.76
Goals Conceded 2.42 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2019 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs Arsenal (TO)
2:1
Apr 13, 2019 Tocantinense
Arsenal (TO) vs Cerrado
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal (TO) 84 / 100
Cerrado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal (TO) Cerrado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal (TO) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Arsenal (TO)'s goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cerrado conceded in 71% of 17 recent games.

Away concern: Cerrado has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal (TO) VS Cerrado
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal (TO)

(Home)
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
SD Sparta
1 : 0
Arsenal (TO)
19 Oct
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Arsenal (TO)
12 Oct
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
12 May
Arsenal (TO)
1 : 2
Araguaina
Page 1 of 3

Cerrado

(Away)
08 Mar
Interporto
5 : 1
Cerrado
29 Feb
Cerrado
0 : 3
Tocantinopolis
22 Feb
Palmas
4 : 1
Cerrado
18 Feb
Capital FC
4 : 1
Cerrado
15 Feb
Cerrado
1 : 0
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
3 Interporto 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
2 SD Sparta 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
3 Cerrado 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 Araguaina 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 8 1 3 4 14:20 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)