Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal (TO) vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Arsenal (TO) Logo

Arsenal (TO)

2 - 6
FT
Tocantinopolis Logo

Tocantinopolis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 game between Arsenal (TO) and Tocantinopolis finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Arsenal (TO)
15%
Draws
85%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Arsenal (TO) haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tocantinopolis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Arsenal (TO) Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal (TO) Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 12 48
Wins 1 24
Draws 3 12
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Arsenal (TO)
3:3
Apr 17, 2019 Tocantinense
Arsenal (TO) vs Tocantinopolis
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal (TO) 10 / 100
Tocantinopolis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal (TO) Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Arsenal (TO) found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

Defensive concern: Tocantinopolis conceded in 69% of 48 recent games.

Away concern: Tocantinopolis has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tocantinopolis
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal (TO)

(Home)
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
SD Sparta
1 : 0
Arsenal (TO)
19 Oct
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Arsenal (TO)
12 Oct
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
12 May
Arsenal (TO)
1 : 2
Araguaina
Page 1 of 3

Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 10

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
3 Interporto 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
2 SD Sparta 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
3 Cerrado 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 Araguaina 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 8 1 3 4 14:20 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)