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Arsenal (TO) vs Tocantinopolis

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 game between Arsenal (TO) and Tocantinopolis finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arsenal (TO)
6%
Draws
90%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Arsenal (TO) haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tocantinopolis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Arsenal (TO) Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal (TO) Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 1 12
Draws 3 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Arsenal (TO)
3:3
Apr 17, 2019 Tocantinense
Arsenal (TO) vs Tocantinopolis
2:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal (TO) 10 / 100
Tocantinopolis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal (TO) Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Arsenal (TO) found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

Defensive concern: Tocantinopolis conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Tocantinopolis has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tocantinopolis
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmas640210:712
2Forca Jovem Aquidaba62229:88
3Interporto62138:87
4Alvorada62137:117
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis842216:1014
2SD Sparta842211:914
3Cerrado83329:812
4Araguaina81436:97
5Arsenal (TO)813414:206