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Arsenal Tula 2 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Chubukin A.
82' Event
Senik D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Arsenal Tula 2 and FK Shumbrat Saransk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Arsenal Tula 2
35%
Draws
46%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Shumbrat Saransk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FK Shumbrat Saransk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 20%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 FK Shumbrat Saransk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 3 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
1:1
May 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Senik D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Chubukin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 32 / 100
FK Shumbrat Saransk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 FK Shumbrat Saransk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

FK Shumbrat Saransk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Arsenal Tula 2 scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Arsenal Tula 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula 2 VS FK Shumbrat Saransk
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
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FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Away)
10 Oct
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
03 Oct
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
26 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
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