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Arsenal Tula 2 vs M. Lipetsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Arsenal Tula 2 and M. Lipetsk finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Arsenal Tula 2
30%
Draws
58%
M. Lipetsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: M. Lipetsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • M. Lipetsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • M. Lipetsk are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and M. Lipetsk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 20%
M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 M. Lipetsk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs M. Lipetsk
0:0
Jun 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula 2
3:1
Aug 24, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:0
May 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs M. Lipetsk
1:2
Oct 15, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 20 / 100
M. Lipetsk 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 M. Lipetsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick M. Lipetsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Lipetsk let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Arsenal Tula 2 scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Arsenal Tula 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula 2 VS M. Lipetsk
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
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M. Lipetsk

(Away)
03 Oct
M. Lipetsk
2 : 0
Penza
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
M. Lipetsk
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
12 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
1 : 3
M. Lipetsk
05 Sept
M. Lipetsk
0 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
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