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Arsenal Tula 2 vs Spartak Tambov

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Zhitlov K.
72' Event
Pavlov D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Arsenal Tula 2 and Spartak Tambov finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arsenal Tula 2
6%
Draws
90%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Tambov come out ahead of Arsenal Tula 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Spartak Tambov a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 22
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Spartak Tambov
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Spartak Tambov
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:0
Jun 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Spartak Tambov
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhitlov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 10 / 100
Spartak Tambov 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 Spartak Tambov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula 2 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Spartak Tambov conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Arsenal Tula 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula 2 VS Spartak Tambov
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula 2

(Home)
04 Jul
Kvant Obninsk
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
28 Jun
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 4
Salyut-Belgorod
20 Jun
FC Oryol
4 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
14 Jun
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
06 Jun
M. Lipetsk
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
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Spartak Tambov

(Away)
04 Jul
Kursk
0 : 2
Spartak Tambov
27 Jun
Spartak Tambov
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
20 Jun
Ryazan
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
13 Jun
Spartak Tambov
1 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
06 Jun
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 3
Spartak Tambov
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