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Arsenal Tula vs Kamaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Arsenal, Tula
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Tula host Kamaz in the FNL. This one's hard to separate. Arsenal Tula have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Kamaz's 0.9 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Arsenal Tula slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.31) point toward Arsenal Tula. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Arsenal Tula
20%
Draws
51%
Kamaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kamaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Arsenal Tula at 1.1 per game, Kamaz at 0.9.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 18%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula Kamaz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 FNL
Kamaz vs Arsenal Tula
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Kamaz
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 FNL
Kamaz vs Arsenal Tula
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Kamaz
1:0
Nov 25, 2023 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Kamaz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 32 / 100
Kamaz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula Kamaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kamaz has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Arsenal Tula remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula VS Kamaz
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula

(Home)
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6

Kamaz

(Away)
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1
Kamaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
12 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
13 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
14 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
15 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)