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Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Arsenal, Tula
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Glotov S.
39' Event
Magomedov R.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Biryukov A. In: Tamarindo
Out: Biryukov A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Arsenal Tula
35%
Draws
32%
SKA Khabarovsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • SKA Khabarovsk haven't matched Arsenal Tula's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans SKA Khabarovsk's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 12%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula SKA Khabarovsk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula
1:3
Sep 3, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamarindo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SKA Khabarovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Glotov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorelishvili M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 27 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula SKA Khabarovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Khabarovsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

SKA Khabarovsk let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Arsenal Tula remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula VS SKA Khabarovsk
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula

(Home)
09 Oct
Arsenal Tula
3 : 2
S. Kostroma
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
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SKA Khabarovsk

(Away)
10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
3 : 3
Kamaz
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4
SKA Khabarovsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
5 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
6 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)